National Bank of Romania' s Chief
Economist, Valentin Lazea purportedly noted that the country's
macroeconomic situation is a good one and this particular stability
needs to be maintained.
Agerpress informs that he also
emphasized the need to keep up the current state of affairs and not
resort to “policies aimed at short term success” which can prove
detrimental to the current equilibrium.
He added “For Romania the potential
growth has been calculated to be somewhere at 3% a year. Could we
raise this potential to 5% a year? Yes, not through fiscal and
monetary policies though, but rather through unpleasant, costly,
short term measures that will have long term effects.” Lazea went on to give examples of
reforms necessary for raising the growth potential. As such, he started with the
economically vital subjects of capital, work and productivity.
More direct foreign investments was his
solution to stimulate capital growth, with a focus on tradables as
opposed to real estate, financial services or any other such domains
which have been the primary focus of past investments.
In terms of work, he stressed the
significance of education, noting the paramount importance of raising
equality of opportunity, since many children in the country side have
no access to education.
Health reform was just as prioritized.
Lazea agreed with the government's decision to raise salaries for
doctors, although he did highlight performance based compensation as
perhaps a better alternative.
As one might expect, since the recent
“brain drain” phenomenon has been quite serious in Romania, the
National Bank of Romania representative also talked about the need to
raise the birthrate and reverse emigration while taking a more
selective approach to immigration. To this he added the need to keep
those who can and want to still work after retirement socially
engaged in this respect.
He ended the list of reforms with a
focus on increasing productivity. Among his suggestions were the
implication of the private sector in agriculture and the development
of transportation infrastructure.
The entire discussion virtually noted
the vital areas upon which Romania needs to focus its efforts in
order to eventually improve.